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Welsh NHS likely to miss waiting lists target ahead of crucial election

Ahead of the May 7 Senedd election, provisional March NHS Wales data suggest the service may miss key waiting-list targets. The data show persistent delays in urgent care and cancer treatment, with long waits concentrated in the north and a recent fall in overall waiting paths but still above pre-pandemic levels.

Why It Matters

The figures inform voters on NHS performance and will shape campaign proposals and party strategies on health funding and reform ahead of the election.

Timeline

7 Events

Autumn 2025: NHS Wales boss warns two-year wait target unlikely to be met

Autumn 2025

The head of NHS Wales admitted that problems 'in the north of the country' meant that the target to eliminate two-year waits for planned treatment was unlikely to be met in all parts of Wales.

May 7, 2026: Senedd election day

May 7, 2026

Election day for the Welsh Senedd, with NHS performance a central issue of the campaign and post-election expectations for health policy and funding.

April 22, 2026: Provisional March data released ahead of official figures

April 22, 2026

The article notes provisional NHS Wales statistics for March were published ahead of the official figures, which have a seven-week lag. The provisional data are used to assess whether targets could be met before the election.

March 2026: Two-year waits concentrated in Betsi Cadwaladr

March 2026

About 69% of the latest number of two-year-plus waits were in the Betsi Cadwaladr health board area, with Swansea Bay reporting no patients waiting that long. The data highlighted regional disparities in long waits.

February 2026: Emergency care performance remains below target

February 2026

Latest figures from February showed that 63.7% of patients spent less than four hours in emergency departments, indicating ongoing underperformance in urgent care.

January 2026: Start of year shows long waits and progress on overall waiting list

January 2026

At the start of 2026, more than 48,000 people were waiting more than eight weeks for a diagnostic test. In January, the total number of patient pathways fell by 28,000 to 713,048. Cancer statistics for January showed 57% started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected, well below the 75% target.

Miles's April 2025 pledge to tackle NHS waiting lists

April 2025

In a speech to health leaders, Miles said tackling waiting would be his 'number one priority,' promising to reduce the overall waiting list by March 2026 and bring it back toward pre-pandemic levels. The plan was backed by £120m in extra funding for outpatient appointments, diagnostic tests and treatments, including more than 20,000 cataract operations.